Markus Thielen, an analyst at 10x Research known for accurately predicting Bitcoin's recent price movements, has now forecasted that the premier cryptocurrency could ascend to $52,000 by April. Thielen's predictions are grounded in the Elliott Wave theory, which postulates that asset prices move in a rhythmic pattern of five waves.
In Thielen's analysis, the first, third, and fifth waves are identified as "impulse waves," driving the price upward, while the second and fourth are "rollback waves," where corrections occur. The recent downturn in Bitcoin price is seen as the fourth wave, setting the stage for an impending fifth wave that could elevate the price significantly.
10x Research, through Elliott Wave analysis, has charted a potential recovery for Bitcoin, targeting a price of $52,671, possibly by the end of the first quarter of 2024. This prediction hinges on the commencement of the fifth wave, which is anticipated to be a strong upward move.
Thielen believes that the general growth of the stock market, coupled with the diminishing impact of fund outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin exchange-traded fund, are key factors influencing Bitcoin's price. He suggests that a shift to a bullish stance is advisable once Bitcoin breaks above the $43,000 mark.
The analyst points to several potential catalysts that could trigger Bitcoin's upward trajectory. These include a reduced impact from Grayscale GBTC sales, record highs in company shares, and the green light for advertising cryptocurrency ETFs on platforms like Google.
Not everyone shares Thielen's optimistic outlook. Experts at Matrixport predict a potential drop in Bitcoin price to $36,000, suggesting a rise is possible only under favorable macroeconomic conditions and increased liquidity. Interestingly, these are the same analysts who previously projected Bitcoin could reach $125,000 in 2024.
Markus Thielen's analysis presents a promising yet cautious outlook for Bitcoin. While his application of the Elliott Wave theory suggests a potential rise to over $52,000, contrasting views from other experts highlight the inherent unpredictability and volatility of the cryptocurrency market. As always, investors are advised to navigate the crypto landscape with careful consideration of various market analyses and predictions.