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Arthur Hayes: Due to excessive inflation, the price of BTC may fall to $30,000

Arthur Hayes -Due to excessive inflation, the price of BTC may fall to $30,000 Arthur Hayes - former CEO of BitMEX

Arthur Hayes Foresees Potential Bitcoin Drop to $30,000 Amid Inflation Concerns

Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX and current Chief Investment Officer at Maelstrom, has issued a warning to the cryptocurrency community: the price of Bitcoin could see a significant downturn, potentially falling to the $30,000 mark in the short term. This prediction, shared with followers of the "Yellen or Talkin'?" blog on Substack, stems from a complex web of inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions.

Inflation Expectations and Geopolitical Tensions

Hayes highlights a series of political and economic developments that are stoking investor fears about rising inflation. Notably, he points to the ongoing conflict in the Red Sea involving the United States and the Houthis, as well as the military clash in the Gaza Strip and its repercussions on global shipping. These events, according to Hayes, contribute to an atmosphere of heightened inflation expectations among investors.

Crypto Market Uncertainty

Further adding to the uncertainty in the crypto markets are the forthcoming US presidential elections and the Federal Reserve System's somewhat opaque policies concerning the cryptocurrency industry and the economy at large. Hayes argues that these geopolitical events and policy uncertainties could adversely impact the digital asset market. He suggests that in response to these challenges, the US government may need to inject additional liquidity to support producers and banks, potentially diluting the value of digital assets like Bitcoin.

Predicted Price Correction

Based on his analysis, Hayes anticipates a 30% correction from the Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF)'s high of $48,000, setting the potential short-term price range for BTC between $35,000 and $30,000. This forecast comes at a time when Bitcoin is trading at approximately $39,500, showing a marginal increase of 0.01% over the past 24 hours but a 7% decline on a weekly basis.

Market Pressures and Asset Sales

Echoing Hayes' sentiments, Kiarash Hossainpour, founder of Colorways Ventures and The Consensus, has also suggested that the market value of Bitcoin could face significant pressure in the first half of the year, likely due to asset sales by large cryptocurrency holders.


Arthur Hayes' prediction paints a cautious picture for Bitcoin in the near term, underscoring the influence of global political and economic events on the cryptocurrency market. As investors navigate these turbulent waters, Hayes' insights offer a critical perspective on the potential for significant price fluctuations in the world of digital assets.

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